2026 Midterm Intelligence

Your models are targeting the wrong districts.

We build psychographic voter models that find where campaign dollars actually change outcomes. Our analysis called the DHS backlash, the online right's fracture, and the districts that will decide 2026 — before anyone else.

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Capabilities
01

Superseat Identification

We find districts where the gap between conventional wisdom and actual persuadable voter density creates asymmetric ROI on campaign spend. Not every swing district is a superseat.

02

Psychographic Modeling

Demographics tell you who lives in a district. Psychographics tell you why they vote. We model segments that traditional polling misses — and reverse-test against historical outcomes.

03

District Audits

Comprehensive analysis with voter elasticity, issue salience mapping, win probability, and specific resource allocation strategy. Delivered as a detailed PDF report.

04

Social Media & Messaging Strategy

Sustainable, election-winning social media strategy built on what actually moves voters in your district — not national narratives, not viral trends.

We publish our analysis. Then it happens.

Summer 2025

DHS / ICE Backlash

Called deportation enforcement becoming a political liability months before mainstream polling caught up.

2025

Online Right Fractures

Mapped the grocery/horseshoe dynamic and the conservative coalition cracking before engagement data showed it.

2025

Vivek's Decline

Modeled Ramaswamy's influence curve trajectory and correctly predicted the timeline of his diminishing relevance.

2025

Rubio's Repositioning

Identified Marco's rising trajectory within the Republican coalition before it became consensus.

Built for campaigns that run on evidence

Your district's voters are different than the national narrative suggests. Let's find where that difference matters most for your campaign.

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